Polar Vortex 2025 Texas Path. We take a look at two things that help predict our chances for this extreme event. A new polar vortex is developing in the stratosphere over the north pole as nights get longer over the polar regions and temperatures drop.

For the gefsv12 forecast issued on 18 december 2024, the winds at 60 degrees north (the mean location of the polar vortex) are forecast to remain stronger than normal for at. A strong/stable polar vortex usually means strong polar circulation and jet stream.